Market Update, Monday, June 1, 2020

Market Update, Monday March 30,2020

Mortgage origination flows continued to be strong with day over day improving by ~13% to $9.24B vs $8.20B. Lenders surveyed last week reported rates slightly lower, with most posting rates 3% to 3.5%. Using 3.25% as the prevailing 30yr rate, the primary/secondary spread was 157bps on Friday, tightening from the week prior. Dealers reported the 2% and 2.5% coupons were the primary hedge coupons last week, with the 2.5% coupon remaining at approximately 50%.

Market Update, Friday, May 29, 2020

Market Update, Tuesday March 31st, 2020

Treasury supply and record mortgage originations continue to put pressure on bond prices. FedTrade purchases continue to buy an average of $4.5B per day. Mortgage originations remain strong with dealers reporting $7-8B per day on average. More than 25% of 30y origination flows are in UMBS 2.0’s. The FedTrade will buy up to a maximum of ~$4.77B in current coupon FNCL and G2SF securities.

Market Update, Wednesday, May 27, 2020

What difference a day makes. Investors shrugged off concerns with US/China relations, poor economic data and sub par earnings to focus on buying equities. Germany announced plans to lift travel restrictions, Japan is ending the state of emergency and optimism in the US had investors scrambling to buy particularly in sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. The Dow and S&P rallied by +2.2% (+529.95) and +1.2% (+36.32) respectively. Renewed investor optimism in an economic recovery appear to be driven by easing of restrictions and ongoing stimulus from major economies. Markets will however watch for new developments in Hong Kong and a U.S. reaction to the new national security laws in China as well and any vaccine related developments.

Market Update, Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Throughout last week, production coupons managed to trade higher by +8/32nds. The Dow was lower w-o-w by -132 points (-0.54%) but the S&P was slightly higher by +7 points (+0.05%). Origination volume remained healthy to close out the week with dealers reporting $5.75B to $7.6B in flows.

Market Update, Thursday, May 21, 2020

LoanStream Market Update

Mortgage supply continues to be robust. Several broker dealers saw origination topping over $5B. The Federal Reserve had a large buying operation in both current coupon UMBS and G2SF. Today they will continue their buying operations in UMBS-30yr and UMBS-15yr.

Market Update, Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Originations continue to be strong as dealers are reporting north of $5B in originations. The Federal reserve continues to support the mortgage market with QE4 purchases. Mortgages were well supported in 2.0-3.0s, where the fed is conducting their operations.